Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 52.1% vs Thornton 57.4% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 14-7 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 67.1%
Defensive zone
Backes 61.2%
Neutral zone
Backes 55.0%
Result
David Backes favored at 61.1%
61.1%
38.9%
Backes
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
14
(21 meetings)
7
14
Backes
Thornton
Last 10: Backes 5-5 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
4
Backes
Thornton
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
6
Backes
Thornton
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
4
Backes
Thornton
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (726)
57.0% (540)
-2.6%
Power Play
47.8% (92)
64.0% (111)
-16.2%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (94)
62.0% (50)
-21.6%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Backes is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Backes shoots right. Thornton is 60.1% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Backes
Thornton
Home
50.8% (447)
56.7% (353)
Away
53.8% (465)
60.3% (348)
By Period
Backes
Thornton
P1
51.8%
59.3%
P2
53.2%
60.1%
P3
52.8%
57.1%
OT
33.3%
47.6%
Final 5 min
56.8%
58.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 12:28 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 13:23 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 10:39 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 08:53 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 18:02 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 13:42 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 3 | 16:22 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 14:48 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 11:02 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 10:07 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 09:57 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 2 | 19:19 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 2 | 12:31 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 2 | 09:42 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 2 | 07:06 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 2 | 03:55 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 2 | 00:41 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 1 | 18:39 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 1 | 08:59 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |