Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 26 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Thornton 54.3% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 51-29 in 80 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 58.5%
Defensive zone
Backes 64.9%
Neutral zone
Backes 61.1%
Result
David Backes favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Backes
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
51
(80 meetings)
29
51
Backes
Thornton
Last 10: Backes 4-6 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
5
21
Backes
Thornton
26 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
14
18
Backes
Thornton
32 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
10
12
Backes
Thornton
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
53.5% (6,640)
-2.4%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
57.2% (1,387)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
56.7% (427)
-9.3%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Thornton is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,270).
Home / Away
Backes
Thornton
Home
50.6% (3,936)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
Backes
Thornton
P1
50.1%
55.0%
P2
51.5%
53.3%
P3
50.8%
54.4%
OT
42.9%
56.4%
Final 5 min
51.9%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2017 | 1 | 15:11 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 2 | 10:48 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 22, 2016 | 2 | 08:16 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 22, 2016 | 1 | 12:01 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 22, 2016 | 1 | 08:37 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 01:21 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 3 | 11:12 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 3 | 04:41 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 1 | 16:26 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 1 | 13:31 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 10:56 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 1 | 06:40 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 07:50 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 02:13 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 2 | 16:48 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 1 | 09:55 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 1 | 00:43 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 12:28 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 13:23 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |