Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Langkow on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Langkow wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Langkow 45.0% vs Thornton 55.5% (-11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 87.0%
Defensive zone
Thornton 84.9%
Neutral zone
Thornton 90.3%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 87.3%
12.7%
87.3%
Langkow
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Langkow
Thornton
Last 5: Langkow 4-1 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Langkow
3
0
Langkow
Thornton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
1
Langkow
Thornton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Langkow
1
0
Langkow
Thornton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Langkow
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (815)
55.8% (704)
-12.5%
Power Play
54.1% (109)
56.7% (208)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (56)
56.7% (67)
-13.8%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Langkow is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (720).
Langkow shoots left. Thornton is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (605).
Home / Away
Langkow
Thornton
Home
45.2% (498)
59.0% (493)
Away
43.7% (494)
53.2% (500)
By Period
Langkow
Thornton
P1
44.2%
55.3%
P2
44.3%
55.4%
P3
45.5%
57.1%
OT
30.8%
59.3%
Final 5 min
46.2%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Langkow
36.0%▼
46.5%
44.5%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2012 | 2 | 13:44 | Neutral | Daymond Langkow |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 2 | 00:32 | Offensive | Daymond Langkow |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 3 | 12:02 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 17:40 | Offensive | Daymond Langkow |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 10:26 | Offensive | Daymond Langkow |