Henrik Zetterberg vs Joe Thornton
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Zetterberg on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zetterberg 50.1% vs Thornton 52.6% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zetterberg 54.2%
Defensive zone
Thornton 56.6%
Neutral zone
Thornton 54.0%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Zetterberg
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Zetterberg
Thornton
Last 7: Zetterberg 5-2 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zetterberg
2
0
Zetterberg
Thornton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zetterberg
3
2
Zetterberg
Thornton
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zetterberg
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (893)
51.8% (577)
-3.2%
Power Play
59.4% (165)
57.7% (168)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (17)
37.5% (8)
+3.7%
On penalty kill, Zetterberg has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Zetterberg is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (720).
Zetterberg shoots left. Thornton is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (449).
Home / Away
Zetterberg
Thornton
Home
52.9% (531)
53.0% (379)
Away
47.4% (544)
52.9% (374)
By Period
Zetterberg
Thornton
P1
53.2%
53.3%
P2
49.3%
50.7%
P3
47.1%
54.3%
OT
68.8%
62.5%
Final 5 min
50.4%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zetterberg
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.1%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2016 | 3 | 15:20 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 7, 2016 | 3 | 13:08 | Neutral | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Jan 7, 2016 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 3 | 02:56 | Offensive | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 2 | 12:52 | Neutral | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 2 | 06:56 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 1 | 17:52 | Neutral | Henrik Zetterberg |