Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Iginla 49.9% vs Thornton 57.4% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 60.1%
Defensive zone
Thornton 77.2%
Neutral zone
Thornton 63.6%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Iginla
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Iginla
Thornton
Last 7: Iginla 4-3 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Iginla
Thornton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
1
Iginla
Thornton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Iginla
2
0
Iginla
Thornton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Iginla
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (183)
57.0% (540)
-6.2%
Power Play
48.2% (56)
64.0% (111)
-15.8%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
62.0% (50)
-24.5%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Iginla is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (195).
Iginla shoots right. Thornton is 60.1% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Iginla
Thornton
Home
51.9% (133)
56.7% (353)
Away
47.4% (114)
60.3% (348)
By Period
Iginla
Thornton
P1
48.2%
59.3%
P2
49.3%
60.1%
P3
51.7%
57.1%
OT
50.0%
47.6%
Final 5 min
54.7%
58.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Iginla
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.8%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2013 | 1 | 13:34 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 3 | 05:55 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jarome Iginla |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 2 | 16:37 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 1 | 10:56 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 1 | 06:08 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jarome Iginla |