Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Iginla on offensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Iginla 50.3% vs Thornton 54.3% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Iginla leads 16-15 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 54.5%
Defensive zone
Thornton 73.3%
Neutral zone
Thornton 70.4%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 64.8%
35.2%
64.8%
Iginla
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
15
(31 meetings)
16
15
Iginla
Thornton
Last 10: Iginla 5-5 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Iginla
8
5
Iginla
Thornton
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
4
7
Iginla
Thornton
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Iginla
4
3
Iginla
Thornton
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Iginla
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (994)
53.5% (6,640)
-2.4%
Power Play
49.7% (366)
57.2% (1,387)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (36)
56.7% (427)
-23.4%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Iginla is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,104).
Iginla shoots right. Thornton is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,270).
Home / Away
Iginla
Thornton
Home
54.6% (694)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
46.1% (709)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
Iginla
Thornton
P1
52.9%
55.0%
P2
47.6%
53.3%
P3
51.7%
54.4%
OT
34.1%
56.4%
Final 5 min
51.3%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Iginla
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2016 | 3 | 01:18 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 1, 2015 | 3 | 18:55 | Neutral | Jarome Iginla |
| Mar 6, 2013 | 1 | 13:34 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 3 | 05:55 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jarome Iginla |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 2 | 16:37 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 1 | 10:56 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 1 | 06:08 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jarome Iginla |
| Mar 13, 2012 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 3 | 03:45 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 3 | 18:45 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 3 | 18:37 | Defensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 3 | 17:11 | Defensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 3 | 16:28 | Defensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 2 | 04:19 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 3 | 17:10 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 17, 2012 | OT | 01:39 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 17, 2012 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |