Joe Thornton vs Joel Ward

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Joe Thornton holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Thornton wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Ward shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Thornton 54.3% vs Ward 48.4% (+5.9%)
H2H factor Thornton leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone Thornton 71.6%
Defensive zone Ward 55.5%
Neutral zone Thornton 57.3%
Result Joe Thornton favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Thornton Ward
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 5 (11 meetings)
6
5
Thornton Ward
Last 10: Thornton 5-5 Ward

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Thornton Ward
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
4
1
Thornton Ward
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ward
0
2
Thornton Ward
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Thornton
Ward
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,640)
51.3% (1,186)
+2.2%
Power Play
57.2% (1,387)
53.4% (238)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (427)
35.5% (366)
+21.2%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +21.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Ward shoots right. Thornton is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,270).
Thornton shoots left. Ward is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,320).
Home / Away
Thornton
Ward
Home
55.8% (4,271)
50.3% (870)
Away
52.8% (4,219)
46.5% (921)
By Period
Thornton
Ward
P1
55.0%
47.6%
P2
53.3%
47.5%
P3
54.4%
50.3%
OT
56.4%
30.8%
Final 5 min
53.7%
45.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%
46.5%
54.3%
Ward
44.0%
47.0%
48.4%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Oct 14, 2014 3 14:09 Neutral Joel Ward
Oct 14, 2014 1 09:50 Defensive Joe Thornton
Oct 14, 2014 1 09:34 Neutral Joel Ward
Jan 14, 2014 3 13:04 Defensive Joe Thornton
Jan 14, 2014 3 13:01 Offensive Joel Ward
Jan 14, 2014 3 01:02 Defensive Joel Ward
Jan 14, 2014 2 08:34 Offensive Joel Ward
Jan 14, 2014 2 02:05 Defensive Joe Thornton
Feb 15, 2011 2 18:49 Defensive Joe Thornton
Dec 15, 2010 3 18:58 Offensive Joe Thornton
Dec 15, 2010 2 14:28 Offensive Joe Thornton