Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Franzen on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Thornton wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Franzen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.3% vs Franzen 49.0% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Franzen leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Franzen 71.4%
Defensive zone
Franzen 65.2%
Neutral zone
Franzen 69.9%
Result
Johan Franzen favored at 68.9%
31.1%
68.9%
Thornton
Franzen
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Thornton
Franzen
Last 10: Thornton 4-6 Franzen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Franzen
2
3
Thornton
Franzen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
4
1
Thornton
Franzen
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Franzen
0
5
Thornton
Franzen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Franzen
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,640)
48.5% (464)
+5.0%
Power Play
57.2% (1,387)
51.0% (149)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (427)
42.9% (14)
+13.8%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Franzen shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Thornton shoots left. Franzen is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (413).
Home / Away
Thornton
Franzen
Home
55.8% (4,271)
51.1% (368)
Away
52.8% (4,219)
45.6% (261)
By Period
Thornton
Franzen
P1
55.0%
51.9%
P2
53.3%
50.0%
P3
54.4%
43.5%
OT
56.4%
52.9%
Final 5 min
53.7%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Franzen
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2013 | OT | 00:24 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Oct 21, 2013 | 3 | 18:11 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 21, 2013 | 3 | 10:32 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 21, 2013 | 3 | 06:52 | Offensive | Johan Franzen |
| Oct 21, 2013 | 3 | 03:54 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Oct 21, 2013 | 3 | 01:00 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Oct 21, 2013 | 3 | 00:47 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 21, 2013 | 2 | 17:49 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Oct 21, 2013 | 2 | 16:37 | Offensive | Johan Franzen |
| Oct 21, 2013 | 1 | 15:00 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 21, 2013 | 1 | 11:35 | Defensive | Johan Franzen |
| Oct 21, 2013 | 1 | 05:35 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 3 | 07:01 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 3 | 06:30 | Offensive | Johan Franzen |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 3 | 18:19 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |