Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Franzen on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Thornton wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Franzen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 55.6% vs Franzen 52.0% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Franzen leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Franzen 69.1%
Defensive zone
Thornton 53.3%
Neutral zone
Franzen 53.2%
Result
Johan Franzen favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Thornton
Franzen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Thornton
Franzen
Last 10: Thornton 4-6 Franzen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Thornton
Franzen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
1
Thornton
Franzen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Franzen
0
4
Thornton
Franzen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Franzen
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (836)
52.3% (149)
+2.8%
Power Play
60.8% (181)
54.3% (70)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (82)
50.0% (6)
+6.1%
On power play, Thornton has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Franzen shoots left. Thornton is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (585).
Thornton shoots left. Franzen is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Thornton
Franzen
Home
60.4% (528)
54.7% (150)
Away
52.2% (571)
49.3% (75)
By Period
Thornton
Franzen
P1
58.1%
57.8%
P2
55.3%
52.6%
P3
55.0%
48.6%
OT
55.2%
53.8%
Final 5 min
54.1%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
56.1%
Franzen
44.0%▼
49.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2013 | OT | 00:24 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Oct 21, 2013 | 3 | 18:11 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 21, 2013 | 3 | 10:32 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 21, 2013 | 3 | 06:52 | Offensive | Johan Franzen |
| Oct 21, 2013 | 3 | 03:54 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Oct 21, 2013 | 3 | 01:00 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Oct 21, 2013 | 3 | 00:47 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 21, 2013 | 2 | 17:49 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Oct 21, 2013 | 2 | 16:37 | Offensive | Johan Franzen |
| Oct 21, 2013 | 1 | 15:00 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 21, 2013 | 1 | 11:35 | Defensive | Johan Franzen |
| Oct 21, 2013 | 1 | 05:35 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |