Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Thornton wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.3% vs Mitchell 51.0% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Mitchell leads 15-12 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 56.4%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 72.8%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 52.9%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Thornton
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
15
(27 meetings)
12
15
Thornton
Mitchell
Last 10: Thornton 4-6 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
4
3
Thornton
Mitchell
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
2
6
Thornton
Mitchell
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Thornton
Mitchell
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,640)
51.8% (2,965)
+1.7%
Power Play
57.2% (1,387)
54.1% (196)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (427)
44.1% (401)
+12.6%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Thornton shoots left. Mitchell is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,298).
Home / Away
Thornton
Mitchell
Home
55.8% (4,271)
54.4% (1,806)
Away
52.8% (4,219)
47.6% (1,756)
By Period
Thornton
Mitchell
P1
55.0%
52.0%
P2
53.3%
49.9%
P3
54.4%
50.9%
OT
56.4%
69.2%
Final 5 min
53.7%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2017 | 1 | 04:08 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 3 | 10:24 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 24, 2016 | 3 | 04:08 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Dec 28, 2015 | 3 | 11:27 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 28, 2015 | 1 | 14:28 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Dec 28, 2015 | 1 | 08:46 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Dec 28, 2015 | 1 | 07:50 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 1, 2015 | 3 | 17:38 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Nov 1, 2015 | 3 | 17:25 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 1, 2015 | 3 | 14:46 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 1, 2015 | 3 | 01:16 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 1, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Nov 1, 2015 | 2 | 17:15 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 1, 2015 | 2 | 04:35 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 1, 2015 | 1 | 07:24 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 1, 2015 | 1 | 05:17 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 2 | 15:16 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 2 | 04:26 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 2 | 10:20 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 3 | 15:10 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |