Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Thornton wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Jooris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.3% vs Jooris 48.0% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 89.9%
Defensive zone
Thornton 62.0%
Neutral zone
Thornton 83.9%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 76.1%
76.1%
23.9%
Thornton
Jooris
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Thornton
Jooris
Last 10: Thornton 6-4 Jooris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
5
0
Thornton
Jooris
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Thornton
Jooris
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Thornton
Jooris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Jooris
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,640)
48.6% (1,221)
+4.9%
Power Play
57.2% (1,387)
61.0% (41)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (427)
39.4% (175)
+17.3%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jooris shoots right. Thornton is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,270).
Thornton shoots left. Jooris is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (979).
Home / Away
Thornton
Jooris
Home
55.8% (4,271)
49.0% (786)
Away
52.8% (4,219)
46.4% (651)
By Period
Thornton
Jooris
P1
55.0%
47.5%
P2
53.3%
44.3%
P3
54.4%
51.3%
OT
56.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.7%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Jooris
48.0%▲
43.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 16:30 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 2 | 02:14 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 1 | 02:39 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 9, 2015 | 3 | 07:30 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 4, 2015 | 3 | 07:12 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 4, 2015 | 1 | 00:45 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 15:19 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 2 | 11:30 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 1 | 17:41 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 1 | 16:06 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 1 | 00:53 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |