Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Thornton wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Jooris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 57.3% vs Jooris 48.9% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 84.3%
Defensive zone
Thornton 85.1%
Neutral zone
Thornton 82.7%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 84.6%
84.6%
15.4%
Thornton
Jooris
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Thornton
Jooris
Last 9: Thornton 7-2 Jooris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
0
Thornton
Jooris
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
2
Thornton
Jooris
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
0
Thornton
Jooris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Jooris
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (722)
48.4% (488)
+10.3%
Power Play
58.5% (147)
56.3% (32)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
46.8% (47)
+4.4%
On even strength, Thornton has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jooris shoots right. Thornton is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (427).
Thornton shoots left. Jooris is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Thornton
Jooris
Home
60.1% (496)
52.1% (330)
Away
55.8% (459)
43.9% (237)
By Period
Thornton
Jooris
P1
60.4%
45.1%
P2
54.7%
48.1%
P3
58.2%
51.9%
OT
61.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
58.0%
Jooris
48.0%▲
43.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2015 | 3 | 07:30 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 4, 2015 | 3 | 07:12 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 4, 2015 | 1 | 00:45 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 15:19 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 2 | 11:30 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 1 | 17:41 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 1 | 16:06 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 1 | 00:53 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |