Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Brodziak on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Thornton wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.1% vs Brodziak 49.0% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Brodziak leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Brodziak 58.5%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 85.5%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 72.1%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 74.4%
25.6%
74.4%
Thornton
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
11
(17 meetings)
6
11
Thornton
Brodziak
Last 10: Thornton 3-7 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
5
1
Thornton
Brodziak
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
1
8
Thornton
Brodziak
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodziak
0
2
Thornton
Brodziak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (922)
50.2% (809)
+2.6%
Power Play
56.1% (196)
49.5% (93)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
62.0% (100)
42.8% (173)
+19.2%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Thornton is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (327).
Thornton shoots left. Brodziak is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (847).
Home / Away
Thornton
Brodziak
Home
54.9% (597)
48.8% (568)
Away
54.0% (643)
49.0% (520)
By Period
Thornton
Brodziak
P1
53.0%
46.4%
P2
51.2%
46.1%
P3
57.8%
53.9%
OT
72.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.0%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.4%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2011 | 3 | 19:40 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 3 | 04:22 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 2 | 12:42 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 2 | 16:45 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 3 | 17:12 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 3 | 15:06 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 3 | 12:49 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 3 | 06:28 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 3 | 06:18 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 2 | 14:31 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 1 | 11:43 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 2, 2010 | 3 | 16:18 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 2, 2010 | 3 | 04:19 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 2, 2010 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 2, 2010 | 2 | 07:10 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 2, 2010 | 2 | 02:20 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |