Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Thornton wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 55.5% vs Brodziak 49.5% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 14-2 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 93.0%
Defensive zone
Thornton 62.7%
Neutral zone
Thornton 85.1%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 81.1%
81.1%
18.9%
Thornton
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
2
(16 meetings)
14
2
Thornton
Brodziak
Last 10: Thornton 8-2 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
6
0
Thornton
Brodziak
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
4
1
Thornton
Brodziak
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
4
1
Thornton
Brodziak
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (704)
49.3% (1,064)
+6.5%
Power Play
56.7% (208)
53.3% (105)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (67)
47.5% (242)
+9.2%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Thornton is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Thornton shoots left. Brodziak is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Home / Away
Thornton
Brodziak
Home
59.0% (493)
47.8% (711)
Away
53.2% (500)
51.1% (718)
By Period
Thornton
Brodziak
P1
55.3%
46.0%
P2
55.4%
52.6%
P3
57.1%
50.1%
OT
59.3%
40.5%
Final 5 min
54.7%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
56.1%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2012 | 3 | 19:17 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 3 | 14:33 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 3 | 12:42 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 2 | 19:17 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 2 | 19:05 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 2 | 14:45 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 2 | 02:15 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 1 | 18:23 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 1 | 00:19 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 1 | 15:20 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 3 | 15:39 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 3 | 10:26 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 2 | 07:50 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 1 | 03:18 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 1 | 03:08 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |