Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Brodziak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 50.8% vs Brodziak 49.5% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 79.8%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 82.0%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 57.6%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 73.8%
26.2%
73.8%
Thornton
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Thornton
Brodziak
Last 6: Thornton 1-5 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
0
4
Thornton
Brodziak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Thornton
Brodziak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (544)
49.8% (526)
+0.0%
Power Play
54.5% (178)
57.1% (7)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
47.5% (120)
-0.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Thornton is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Thornton shoots left. Brodziak is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Thornton
Brodziak
Home
54.9% (355)
51.5% (324)
Away
47.1% (382)
47.4% (329)
By Period
Thornton
Brodziak
P1
46.0%
50.0%
P2
52.5%
45.9%
P3
55.6%
52.5%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.0%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.9%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2017 | 3 | 01:42 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 2 | 09:50 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 03:03 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 2 | 15:56 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 1 | 02:02 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |