Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 50.3%). Look for Wallmark on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Thornton wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Wallmark shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 49.5% vs Wallmark 50.3% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 60.2%
Defensive zone
Wallmark 59.0%
Neutral zone
Thornton 59.1%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Thornton
Wallmark
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Thornton
Wallmark
Last 7: Thornton 2-5 Wallmark
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
1
4
Thornton
Wallmark
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Thornton
Wallmark
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Wallmark
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (583)
50.2% (633)
-1.3%
Power Play
52.5% (59)
71.9% (32)
-19.4%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
43.2% (88)
+15.1%
On power play, Wallmark has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wallmark shoots left. Thornton is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Thornton shoots left. Wallmark is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (455).
Home / Away
Thornton
Wallmark
Home
51.6% (341)
48.6% (368)
Away
47.0% (313)
51.9% (385)
By Period
Thornton
Wallmark
P1
53.9%
49.0%
P2
46.9%
55.0%
P3
47.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
52.0%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.4%
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2019 | 2 | 11:52 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 2 | 09:30 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 3 | 02:26 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 2 | 18:55 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 2 | 14:37 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 1 | 14:36 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |