Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Thornton wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kruger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.3% vs Kruger 50.5% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 17-12 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 89.2%
Defensive zone
Kruger 69.0%
Neutral zone
Thornton 64.1%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Thornton
Kruger
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
12
(29 meetings)
17
12
Thornton
Kruger
Last 10: Thornton 6-4 Kruger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
9
0
Thornton
Kruger
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
4
3
Thornton
Kruger
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kruger
4
9
Thornton
Kruger
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Kruger
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,640)
52.4% (3,509)
+1.1%
Power Play
57.2% (1,387)
46.5% (99)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (427)
42.9% (860)
+13.8%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kruger shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Thornton shoots left. Kruger is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,762).
Home / Away
Thornton
Kruger
Home
55.8% (4,271)
52.7% (2,242)
Away
52.8% (4,219)
48.3% (2,231)
By Period
Thornton
Kruger
P1
55.0%
49.7%
P2
53.3%
49.7%
P3
54.4%
52.1%
OT
56.4%
53.2%
Final 5 min
53.7%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2019 | 1 | 10:45 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 3 | 17:40 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 2 | 00:29 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 1 | 10:12 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 3 | 13:40 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 19:03 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 06:46 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 1 | 16:24 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 1 | 14:02 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 2 | 11:27 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 2 | 01:08 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 1 | 03:46 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 2 | 12:07 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 2 | 12:07 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 1 | 19:15 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 3 | 03:39 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 2 | 08:42 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 1 | 16:34 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Feb 22, 2013 | 3 | 05:34 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |