Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Thornton wins 57.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kruger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 55.5% vs Kruger 46.5% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 87.3%
Defensive zone
Thornton 74.9%
Neutral zone
Thornton 87.3%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 85.2%
85.2%
14.8%
Thornton
Kruger
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Thornton
Kruger
Last 6: Thornton 5-1 Kruger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
0
Thornton
Kruger
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
0
Thornton
Kruger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
1
Thornton
Kruger
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Kruger
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (704)
45.4% (502)
+10.4%
Power Play
56.7% (208)
46.7% (60)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (67)
48.1% (52)
+8.6%
On even strength, Thornton has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kruger shoots left. Thornton is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (605).
Thornton shoots left. Kruger is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Home / Away
Thornton
Kruger
Home
59.0% (493)
46.1% (267)
Away
53.2% (500)
45.7% (352)
By Period
Thornton
Kruger
P1
55.3%
42.5%
P2
55.4%
44.7%
P3
57.1%
50.0%
OT
59.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.7%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
56.1%
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2012 | 2 | 03:17 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 2 | 02:48 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 15, 2012 | 3 | 02:37 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 15, 2012 | 1 | 18:01 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Dec 11, 2011 | 2 | 13:35 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 09:03 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |