Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Thornton wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kruger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 52.6% vs Kruger 49.3% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 88.2%
Defensive zone
Kruger 79.8%
Neutral zone
Thornton 55.8%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Thornton
Kruger
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Thornton
Kruger
Last 5: Thornton 3-2 Kruger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
0
Thornton
Kruger
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
0
1
Thornton
Kruger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Thornton
Kruger
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Kruger
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (577)
54.0% (348)
-2.2%
Power Play
57.7% (168)
100.0% (1)
-42.3%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
35.2% (125)
+2.3%
On power play, Kruger has a +42.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kruger shoots left. Thornton is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (449).
Thornton shoots left. Kruger is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Thornton
Kruger
Home
53.0% (379)
52.4% (212)
Away
52.9% (374)
46.6% (262)
By Period
Thornton
Kruger
P1
53.3%
40.1%
P2
50.7%
53.6%
P3
54.3%
54.6%
OT
62.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.9%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
53.0%
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 19:03 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 06:46 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 1 | 16:24 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 1 | 14:02 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |