Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (58% H2H, 19 meetings). Thornton wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.3% vs Scheifele 46.8% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 24-16 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 61.7%
Defensive zone
Thornton 80.3%
Neutral zone
Thornton 80.0%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 71.4%
71.4%
28.6%
Thornton
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
16
(40 meetings)
24
16
Thornton
Scheifele
Last 10: Thornton 7-3 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
11
8
Thornton
Scheifele
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
6
3
Thornton
Scheifele
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
7
5
Thornton
Scheifele
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,640)
46.3% (12,036)
+7.2%
Power Play
57.2% (1,387)
50.2% (2,563)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (427)
41.6% (598)
+15.1%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Thornton is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,270).
Thornton shoots left. Scheifele is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (10,821).
Home / Away
Thornton
Scheifele
Home
55.8% (4,271)
48.9% (7,644)
Away
52.8% (4,219)
44.7% (7,554)
By Period
Thornton
Scheifele
P1
55.0%
48.2%
P2
53.3%
45.6%
P3
54.4%
46.8%
OT
56.4%
42.5%
Final 5 min
53.7%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2021 | 1 | 18:01 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 1 | 05:11 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 1 | 07:12 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 3 | 13:32 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 2 | 12:12 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 2 | 07:58 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 1 | 16:56 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 16:02 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 1 | 19:22 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 1 | 19:15 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 3 | 13:41 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 1 | 04:36 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 3 | 04:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 2 | 14:32 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 1 | 16:42 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 3 | 19:47 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 3 | 19:41 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 3 | 17:24 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |