Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Thornton wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 52.4% vs Scheifele 46.5% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 56.7%
Defensive zone
Thornton 81.9%
Neutral zone
Thornton 80.9%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Thornton
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Thornton
Scheifele
Last 5: Thornton 4-1 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
4
0
Thornton
Scheifele
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
Thornton
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (638)
46.0% (1,277)
+6.5%
Power Play
57.1% (35)
50.4% (339)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
37.5% (120)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Thornton is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Thornton shoots left. Scheifele is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,173).
Home / Away
Thornton
Scheifele
Home
54.8% (341)
49.0% (836)
Away
50.6% (334)
43.7% (900)
By Period
Thornton
Scheifele
P1
55.2%
46.4%
P2
56.5%
46.0%
P3
47.1%
46.9%
OT
25.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
49.6%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2019 | 3 | 13:32 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 2 | 12:12 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 2 | 07:58 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 1 | 16:56 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |