Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.3% vs 53.7%). Look for Thornton on neutral-zone draws (64% H2H, 25 meetings). Thornton wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hanzal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.3% vs Hanzal 53.7% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 48-42 in 90 meetings
Offensive zone
Hanzal 50.2%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 57.4%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 52.4%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Thornton
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
48
-
42
(90 meetings)
48
42
Thornton
Hanzal
Last 10: Thornton 6-4 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
16
14
Thornton
Hanzal
30 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
16
19
Thornton
Hanzal
35 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
16
9
Thornton
Hanzal
25 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,640)
54.0% (5,547)
-0.5%
Power Play
57.2% (1,387)
56.7% (1,179)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (427)
46.0% (644)
+10.7%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Thornton shoots left. Hanzal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,731).
Home / Away
Thornton
Hanzal
Home
55.8% (4,271)
55.1% (3,687)
Away
52.8% (4,219)
52.3% (3,704)
By Period
Thornton
Hanzal
P1
55.0%
54.9%
P2
53.3%
53.6%
P3
54.4%
52.4%
OT
56.4%
56.5%
Final 5 min
53.7%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2018 | 3 | 06:59 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 3 | 04:38 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 1 | 19:15 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 09:25 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 1 | 10:29 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 3 | 17:58 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 3 | 10:02 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 3 | 07:37 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 2 | 06:56 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 1 | 16:27 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 16:08 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 01:07 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 1 | 03:41 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 4, 2017 | OT | 00:12 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 19:51 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 05:36 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 02:44 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |