Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Thornton wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hanzal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 57.4% vs Hanzal 47.2% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 61.2%
Defensive zone
Thornton 91.5%
Neutral zone
Thornton 76.6%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 81.4%
81.4%
18.6%
Thornton
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
6
(18 meetings)
12
6
Thornton
Hanzal
Last 10: Thornton 5-5 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
2
Thornton
Hanzal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
8
3
Thornton
Hanzal
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Thornton
Hanzal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (540)
47.4% (502)
+9.6%
Power Play
64.0% (111)
42.9% (119)
+21.1%
Penalty Kill
62.0% (50)
56.3% (16)
+5.7%
On power play, Thornton has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Thornton is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (478).
Thornton shoots left. Hanzal is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Thornton
Hanzal
Home
56.7% (353)
44.8% (330)
Away
60.3% (348)
48.9% (307)
By Period
Thornton
Hanzal
P1
59.3%
47.8%
P2
60.1%
47.1%
P3
57.1%
46.0%
OT
47.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
58.0%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
58.5%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2013 | 3 | 15:21 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Apr 24, 2013 | 3 | 12:45 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Apr 24, 2013 | 2 | 00:37 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 24, 2013 | 2 | 00:32 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 24, 2013 | 1 | 16:00 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Apr 24, 2013 | 1 | 08:17 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 3 | 07:23 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 3 | 05:05 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 2 | 16:45 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 2 | 11:06 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 2 | 10:56 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 2 | 07:51 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 1 | 15:45 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 1 | 01:32 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 1 | 01:15 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 30, 2013 | OT | 03:19 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |