Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.3% vs 53.8%). Look for Reasoner on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Thornton wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Reasoner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.3% vs Reasoner 53.7% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Reasoner leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 66.5%
Defensive zone
Reasoner 80.9%
Neutral zone
Reasoner 57.1%
Result
Marty Reasoner favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Thornton
Reasoner
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Thornton
Reasoner
Last 10: Thornton 1-9 Reasoner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
1
Thornton
Reasoner
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reasoner
1
5
Thornton
Reasoner
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reasoner
2
4
Thornton
Reasoner
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Reasoner
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,640)
55.7% (1,642)
-2.2%
Power Play
57.2% (1,387)
56.9% (72)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (427)
45.5% (413)
+11.2%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reasoner shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Thornton shoots left. Reasoner is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,389).
Home / Away
Thornton
Reasoner
Home
55.8% (4,271)
55.4% (1,032)
Away
52.8% (4,219)
52.4% (1,123)
By Period
Thornton
Reasoner
P1
55.0%
53.1%
P2
53.3%
53.1%
P3
54.4%
55.3%
OT
56.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2011 | 3 | 19:19 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 3 | 16:33 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 3 | 11:59 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 3 | 07:53 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 3 | 01:35 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 18:38 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 18:30 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 00:10 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 3 | 15:27 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 3 | 12:07 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 3 | 10:15 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 3 | 05:22 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 19:31 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 14:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 13:52 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |