Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.4% vs 54.5%). Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Thornton wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Reasoner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.1% vs Reasoner 54.2% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 73.5%
Defensive zone
Reasoner 74.3%
Neutral zone
Reasoner 55.0%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Thornton
Reasoner
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Thornton
Reasoner
Last 8: Thornton 6-2 Reasoner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
0
Thornton
Reasoner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Thornton
Reasoner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
1
Thornton
Reasoner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Reasoner
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (922)
56.1% (923)
-3.3%
Power Play
56.1% (196)
56.1% (57)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
62.0% (100)
48.2% (278)
+13.8%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reasoner shoots left. Thornton is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (913).
Thornton shoots left. Reasoner is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (830).
Home / Away
Thornton
Reasoner
Home
54.9% (597)
56.9% (627)
Away
54.0% (643)
52.2% (657)
By Period
Thornton
Reasoner
P1
53.0%
52.9%
P2
51.2%
53.8%
P3
57.8%
57.1%
OT
72.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
59.0%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.4%
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2011 | 3 | 15:27 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 3 | 12:07 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 3 | 10:15 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 3 | 05:22 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 19:31 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 14:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 13:52 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |