Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 52.6% vs Zibanejad 50.4% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 62.9%
Defensive zone
Thornton 56.0%
Neutral zone
Thornton 62.7%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Thornton
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Thornton
Zibanejad
Last 6: Thornton 5-1 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
0
Thornton
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Thornton
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
0
Thornton
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (577)
50.8% (1,073)
+1.0%
Power Play
57.7% (168)
52.5% (118)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
45.2% (115)
-7.7%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Thornton is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (304).
Thornton shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (863).
Home / Away
Thornton
Zibanejad
Home
53.0% (379)
52.9% (682)
Away
52.9% (374)
47.8% (624)
By Period
Thornton
Zibanejad
P1
53.3%
47.5%
P2
50.7%
52.8%
P3
54.3%
51.4%
OT
62.5%
45.8%
Final 5 min
51.9%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
53.0%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2016 | 3 | 02:47 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 2 | 10:21 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 2 | 00:54 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 1 | 10:10 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 1 | 09:55 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 18, 2015 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |