Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 50.8% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 60.5%
Defensive zone
Thornton 50.4%
Neutral zone
Thornton 64.5%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Thornton
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Thornton
Zibanejad
Last 8: Thornton 2-6 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
2
Thornton
Zibanejad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Thornton
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
2
Thornton
Zibanejad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (544)
52.8% (767)
-3.0%
Power Play
54.5% (178)
62.6% (107)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
28.9% (76)
+17.8%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Thornton is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Thornton shoots left. Zibanejad is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Home / Away
Thornton
Zibanejad
Home
54.9% (355)
51.0% (500)
Away
47.1% (382)
53.1% (450)
By Period
Thornton
Zibanejad
P1
46.0%
54.2%
P2
52.5%
53.6%
P3
55.6%
49.0%
OT
33.3%
37.5%
Final 5 min
46.0%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.9%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 15:00 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 13:55 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 3 | 18:24 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 2 | 05:13 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 2 | 04:58 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 1 | 14:43 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |