Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Thornton wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.3% vs Suzuki 49.2% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 71.0%
Defensive zone
Thornton 79.4%
Neutral zone
Thornton 75.3%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Thornton
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Thornton
Suzuki
Last 5: Thornton 4-1 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
0
Thornton
Suzuki
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
0
Thornton
Suzuki
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Thornton
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,640)
49.2% (6,124)
+4.3%
Power Play
57.2% (1,387)
50.7% (1,285)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (427)
43.4% (454)
+13.3%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Thornton is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,270).
Thornton shoots left. Suzuki is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,694).
Home / Away
Thornton
Suzuki
Home
55.8% (4,271)
50.9% (3,880)
Away
52.8% (4,219)
47.5% (3,983)
By Period
Thornton
Suzuki
P1
55.0%
48.5%
P2
53.3%
49.0%
P3
54.4%
50.3%
OT
56.4%
43.3%
Final 5 min
53.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Suzuki
48.0%▼
53.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 04:18 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 11:04 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 07:48 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 09:11 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 1 | 11:25 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |