Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Thornton wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 52.4% vs Acciari 49.7% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 74.9%
Defensive zone
Acciari 57.8%
Neutral zone
Thornton 57.9%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Thornton
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Thornton
Acciari
Last 5: Thornton 3-2 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Thornton
Acciari
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
1
Thornton
Acciari
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (638)
49.9% (337)
+2.6%
Power Play
57.1% (35)
75.0% (4)
-17.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
46.8% (62)
+3.2%
On power play, Acciari has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Thornton is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Thornton shoots left. Acciari is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Thornton
Acciari
Home
54.8% (341)
49.1% (167)
Away
50.6% (334)
50.0% (236)
By Period
Thornton
Acciari
P1
55.2%
52.4%
P2
56.5%
51.1%
P3
47.1%
45.6%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2019 | 3 | 03:22 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 3 | 08:57 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 3 | 00:40 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 1 | 13:49 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |