Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Thornton wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 49.5% vs Acciari 48.2% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 86.1%
Defensive zone
Acciari 77.3%
Neutral zone
Thornton 62.2%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 81.3%
81.3%
18.7%
Thornton
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Thornton
Acciari
Last 5: Thornton 5-0 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
4
0
Thornton
Acciari
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
0
Thornton
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (583)
51.2% (557)
-2.3%
Power Play
52.5% (59)
35.7% (14)
+16.8%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
40.8% (223)
+17.5%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Thornton is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (247).
Thornton shoots left. Acciari is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Thornton
Acciari
Home
51.6% (341)
49.0% (392)
Away
47.0% (313)
47.0% (402)
By Period
Thornton
Acciari
P1
53.9%
52.9%
P2
46.9%
44.7%
P3
47.0%
47.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.4%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2020 | 3 | 18:20 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 2 | 16:07 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 1 | 18:33 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 1 | 07:13 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 8, 2019 | 2 | 13:22 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |