Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on neutral-zone draws (59% H2H, 27 meetings). Thornton wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.3% vs Jokinen 46.4% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 29-27 in 56 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 65.2%
Defensive zone
Thornton 59.4%
Neutral zone
Thornton 65.3%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Thornton
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
27
(56 meetings)
29
27
Thornton
Jokinen
Last 10: Thornton 4-6 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
6
8
Thornton
Jokinen
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
7
8
Thornton
Jokinen
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
16
11
Thornton
Jokinen
27 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,640)
45.8% (3,924)
+7.7%
Power Play
57.2% (1,387)
50.8% (585)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (427)
42.9% (247)
+13.8%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Thornton shoots left. Jokinen is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,240).
Home / Away
Thornton
Jokinen
Home
55.8% (4,271)
47.4% (2,345)
Away
52.8% (4,219)
45.3% (2,443)
By Period
Thornton
Jokinen
P1
55.0%
45.6%
P2
53.3%
47.5%
P3
54.4%
45.4%
OT
56.4%
56.1%
Final 5 min
53.7%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 16:30 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 27, 2014 | 3 | 11:52 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 27, 2014 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 3 | 03:50 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 3 | 05:53 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 2 | 06:12 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 13, 2012 | OT | 02:15 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 3 | 10:07 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 2 | 06:57 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 1 | 08:04 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 3 | 11:35 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 3 | 05:09 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 1 | 12:12 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 17:17 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 14:48 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 07:45 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 05:28 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 2 | 07:31 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 23, 2011 | 3 | 12:29 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |