Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Thornton wins 57.5% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 55.5% vs Jokinen 46.8% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Jokinen leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Jokinen 72.0%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 64.5%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 72.3%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 69.2%
30.8%
69.2%
Thornton
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Thornton
Jokinen
Last 10: Thornton 5-5 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
0
4
Thornton
Jokinen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
4
1
Thornton
Jokinen
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
3
Thornton
Jokinen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (704)
46.8% (1,017)
+9.0%
Power Play
56.7% (208)
47.6% (185)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (67)
40.7% (113)
+16.0%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Thornton is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (605).
Thornton shoots left. Jokinen is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Home / Away
Thornton
Jokinen
Home
59.0% (493)
47.1% (652)
Away
53.2% (500)
46.0% (681)
By Period
Thornton
Jokinen
P1
55.3%
43.8%
P2
55.4%
49.5%
P3
57.1%
44.6%
OT
59.3%
68.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
56.1%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2012 | OT | 02:15 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 3 | 10:07 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 2 | 06:57 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 1 | 08:04 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 3 | 11:35 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 3 | 05:09 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 1 | 12:12 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 17:17 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 14:48 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 07:45 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 05:28 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 2 | 07:31 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |