Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Thornton wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 55.6% vs Jokinen 46.3% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 80.1%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 76.4%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 79.7%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 79.1%
20.9%
79.1%
Thornton
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Thornton
Jokinen
Last 5: Thornton 1-4 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
0
1
Thornton
Jokinen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
0
1
Thornton
Jokinen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
2
Thornton
Jokinen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (836)
45.3% (1,142)
+9.8%
Power Play
60.8% (181)
53.4% (131)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (82)
43.9% (57)
+12.2%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Thornton is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (585).
Thornton shoots left. Jokinen is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (900).
Home / Away
Thornton
Jokinen
Home
60.4% (528)
48.8% (692)
Away
52.2% (571)
42.9% (638)
By Period
Thornton
Jokinen
P1
58.1%
44.9%
P2
55.3%
45.7%
P3
55.0%
46.9%
OT
55.2%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
56.1%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2014 | 3 | 11:52 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 27, 2014 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 3 | 03:50 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 3 | 05:53 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 2 | 06:12 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |