Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Thornton wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 52.4% vs Sundqvist 43.2% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 83.6%
Defensive zone
Thornton 62.1%
Neutral zone
Thornton 81.2%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 74.8%
74.8%
25.2%
Thornton
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Thornton
Sundqvist
Last 6: Thornton 4-2 Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Thornton
Sundqvist
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
1
Thornton
Sundqvist
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (638)
43.2% (509)
+9.3%
Power Play
57.1% (35)
0.0% (2)
+57.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
23.3% (30)
+26.7%
On power play, Thornton has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Thornton is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Thornton shoots left. Sundqvist is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Thornton
Sundqvist
Home
54.8% (341)
41.7% (252)
Away
50.6% (334)
42.2% (289)
By Period
Thornton
Sundqvist
P1
55.2%
42.4%
P2
56.5%
43.8%
P3
47.1%
39.1%
OT
25.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
35.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2019 | OT | 00:30 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 3 | 13:36 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 1 | 10:35 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 16:21 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 13:18 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 3 | 01:13 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |