Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Thornton wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.3% vs Lindholm 48.8% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 51.5%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 90.1%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 71.5%
Result
Par Lindholm favored at 70.6%
29.4%
70.6%
Thornton
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Thornton
Lindholm
Last 10: Thornton 3-7 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Thornton
Lindholm
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
2
Thornton
Lindholm
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
4
Thornton
Lindholm
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,640)
49.6% (510)
+3.9%
Power Play
57.2% (1,387)
50.0% (12)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (427)
45.5% (178)
+11.2%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Thornton shoots left. Lindholm is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Home / Away
Thornton
Lindholm
Home
55.8% (4,271)
49.4% (346)
Away
52.8% (4,219)
47.7% (354)
By Period
Thornton
Lindholm
P1
55.0%
42.2%
P2
53.3%
51.0%
P3
54.4%
51.9%
Final 5 min
53.7%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Lindholm
42.0%▼
45.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2018 | 3 | 10:59 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 3 | 12:54 | Defensive | Par Lindholm |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 3 | 01:23 | Offensive | Par Lindholm |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 2 | 12:31 | Defensive | Par Lindholm |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 2 | 12:06 | Neutral | Par Lindholm |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 2 | 05:38 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 16:30 | Neutral | Par Lindholm |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 12:51 | Neutral | Par Lindholm |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 05:28 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 02:10 | Neutral | Par Lindholm |