Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Thornton wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Sharp shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.1% vs Sharp 48.4% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 60.8%
Defensive zone
Thornton 81.0%
Neutral zone
Thornton 68.9%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Thornton
Sharp
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Thornton
Sharp
Last 10: Thornton 7-3 Sharp
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sharp
0
1
Thornton
Sharp
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
0
Thornton
Sharp
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
5
2
Thornton
Sharp
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Sharp
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (922)
48.4% (442)
+4.4%
Power Play
56.1% (196)
45.7% (35)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
62.0% (100)
43.3% (30)
+18.7%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sharp shoots right. Thornton is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (327).
Thornton shoots left. Sharp is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Thornton
Sharp
Home
54.9% (597)
51.2% (242)
Away
54.0% (643)
45.1% (266)
By Period
Thornton
Sharp
P1
53.0%
49.7%
P2
51.2%
46.5%
P3
57.8%
47.9%
OT
72.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
59.0%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.4%
Sharp
60.0%▲
52.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2011 | 1 | 02:20 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 3 | 17:44 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 3 | 14:28 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 3 | 07:13 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 3 | 03:23 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrick Sharp |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 1 | 00:50 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 2 | 02:11 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 2 | 01:56 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 1 | 05:14 | Neutral | Patrick Sharp |