Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Thornton wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Berglund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 55.6% vs Berglund 47.9% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Berglund leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Berglund 69.2%
Defensive zone
Berglund 66.0%
Neutral zone
Berglund 76.1%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 69.3%
30.7%
69.3%
Thornton
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Thornton
Berglund
Last 10: Thornton 3-7 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
1
3
Thornton
Berglund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
2
4
Thornton
Berglund
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
1
2
Thornton
Berglund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (836)
47.7% (641)
+7.4%
Power Play
60.8% (181)
59.7% (67)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (82)
36.0% (75)
+20.1%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Thornton is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (585).
Thornton shoots left. Berglund is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (494).
Home / Away
Thornton
Berglund
Home
60.4% (528)
50.2% (422)
Away
52.2% (571)
44.6% (361)
By Period
Thornton
Berglund
P1
58.1%
43.8%
P2
55.3%
46.3%
P3
55.0%
53.1%
OT
55.2%
42.9%
Final 5 min
54.1%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
56.1%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2013 | 3 | 15:09 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 3 | 11:12 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 3 | 03:18 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 2 | 19:35 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 2 | 10:23 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 2 | 01:28 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 1 | 19:44 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 1 | 19:41 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 1 | 01:06 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 13:08 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 02:45 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 2 | 14:16 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 1 | 13:38 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |