Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 53.0% vs Danault 52.2% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 76.6%
Defensive zone
Danault 78.9%
Neutral zone
Danault 52.9%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Thornton
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Thornton
Danault
Last 7: Thornton 2-5 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
1
Thornton
Danault
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
3
Thornton
Danault
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Thornton
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (41)
55.1% (720)
+1.0%
Power Play
59.3% (27)
50.0% (20)
+9.3%
On power play, Thornton has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Thornton is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (42).
Thornton shoots left. Danault is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (664).
Home / Away
Thornton
Danault
Home
56.3% (32)
54.5% (442)
Away
58.3% (36)
50.5% (465)
By Period
Thornton
Danault
P1
59.1%
53.8%
P2
54.2%
54.2%
P3
59.1%
49.8%
Final 5 min
64.3%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
57.4%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 02:21 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 14:24 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 1 | 19:04 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 1 | 16:54 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 2 | 18:18 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 2 | 16:04 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 2 | 09:38 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |