Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Thornton wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Horak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.3% vs Horak 43.9% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 91.8%
Defensive zone
Thornton 67.0%
Neutral zone
Thornton 88.6%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 83.1%
83.1%
16.9%
Thornton
Horak
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Thornton
Horak
Last 10: Thornton 7-3 Horak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
0
Thornton
Horak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horak
1
2
Thornton
Horak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
1
Thornton
Horak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Horak
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,640)
41.8% (594)
+11.7%
Power Play
57.2% (1,387)
51.4% (37)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (427)
57.9% (19)
-1.2%
On even strength, Thornton has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horak shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Thornton shoots left. Horak is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (417).
Home / Away
Thornton
Horak
Home
55.8% (4,271)
43.7% (325)
Away
52.8% (4,219)
42.2% (327)
By Period
Thornton
Horak
P1
55.0%
42.4%
P2
53.3%
44.2%
P3
54.4%
42.6%
OT
56.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Horak
38.0%▼
46.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2013 | 3 | 12:10 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 2 | 07:12 | Defensive | Roman Horak |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 2 | 05:44 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 1 | 13:09 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 1 | 13:02 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 1 | 07:29 | Defensive | Roman Horak |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 1 | 06:13 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 1 | 03:37 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 1 | 00:08 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |