Joe Thornton vs Ryan Kesler

2011-12 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Joe Thornton holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Thornton wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Thornton 55.5% vs Kesler 53.3% (+2.5%)
H2H factor Kesler leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone Kesler 60.6%
Defensive zone Kesler 62.9%
Neutral zone Kesler 63.6%
Result Ryan Kesler favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Thornton Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
8 - 13 (21 meetings)
8
13
Thornton Kesler
Last 10: Thornton 4-6 Kesler

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
4
5
Thornton Kesler
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
3
Thornton Kesler
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
3
5
Thornton Kesler
8 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Thornton
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (704)
53.8% (981)
+2.0%
Power Play
56.7% (208)
56.9% (160)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (67)
49.2% (185)
+7.5%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +7.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Thornton is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Thornton shoots left. Kesler is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (959).
Home / Away
Thornton
Kesler
Home
59.0% (493)
54.1% (690)
Away
53.2% (500)
53.1% (661)
By Period
Thornton
Kesler
P1
55.3%
52.3%
P2
55.4%
52.8%
P3
57.1%
56.3%
OT
59.3%
44.1%
Final 5 min
54.7%
58.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%
46.5%
56.1%
Kesler
50.0%
54.5%
53.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 21, 2012 3 15:55 Neutral Ryan Kesler
Jan 21, 2012 3 15:43 Neutral Ryan Kesler
Jan 21, 2012 3 14:11 Neutral Joe Thornton
Jan 21, 2012 3 00:34 Defensive Ryan Kesler
Jan 21, 2012 2 19:53 Offensive Joe Thornton
Jan 21, 2012 1 19:43 Defensive Ryan Kesler
Jan 21, 2012 1 17:48 Offensive Ryan Kesler
Jan 21, 2012 1 12:03 Offensive Joe Thornton
Jan 21, 2012 1 09:43 Offensive Ryan Kesler
Jan 21, 2012 1 06:35 Neutral Joe Thornton
Jan 21, 2012 1 03:14 Defensive Joe Thornton
Jan 2, 2012 3 18:21 Neutral Ryan Kesler
Jan 2, 2012 3 14:12 Offensive Ryan Kesler
Jan 2, 2012 3 08:38 Offensive Ryan Kesler
Jan 2, 2012 3 01:04 Neutral Ryan Kesler
Jan 2, 2012 2 18:26 Neutral Ryan Kesler
Dec 28, 2011 OT 00:00 Neutral Joe Thornton
Dec 28, 2011 3 18:23 Offensive Joe Thornton
Nov 26, 2011 2 16:16 Offensive Joe Thornton
Nov 26, 2011 2 12:20 Offensive Ryan Kesler