Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 52.6% vs Kesler 58.0% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 90.1%
Defensive zone
Thornton 63.3%
Neutral zone
Thornton 76.3%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 75.3%
75.3%
24.7%
Thornton
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
13
(19 meetings)
6
13
Thornton
Kesler
Last 10: Thornton 4-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
4
3
Thornton
Kesler
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
8
Thornton
Kesler
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
2
Thornton
Kesler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (577)
58.6% (1,138)
-6.8%
Power Play
57.7% (168)
64.5% (186)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
55.0% (351)
-17.5%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Thornton is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (304).
Thornton shoots left. Kesler is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,168).
Home / Away
Thornton
Kesler
Home
53.0% (379)
61.0% (859)
Away
52.9% (374)
55.9% (816)
By Period
Thornton
Kesler
P1
53.3%
59.1%
P2
50.7%
56.5%
P3
54.3%
60.5%
OT
62.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
51.9%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
53.0%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2016 | 3 | 09:21 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 3 | 02:50 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 2 | 12:07 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 2 | 03:11 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 1 | 06:54 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 1 | 05:36 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 1 | 03:08 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 2 | 16:19 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 2 | 11:21 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 1 | 05:39 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 1 | 00:19 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 3 | 19:48 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 3 | 19:40 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 3 | 19:36 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 3 | 18:46 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 3 | 17:36 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 3 | 04:10 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 06:29 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |