Joe Thornton vs Ryan Kesler

2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Ryan Kesler holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 16 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Thornton 50.8% vs Kesler 57.0% (-6.5%)
H2H factor Thornton leads 26-13 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone Kesler 78.5%
Defensive zone Kesler 96.1%
Neutral zone Kesler 89.2%
Result Ryan Kesler favored at 88.7%
11.3%
88.7%
Thornton Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
26 - 13 (39 meetings)
26
13
Thornton Kesler
Last 10: Thornton 7-3 Kesler

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
8
2
Thornton Kesler
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
6
7
Thornton Kesler
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
12
4
Thornton Kesler
16 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Thornton
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (544)
57.6% (1,225)
-7.8%
Power Play
54.5% (178)
63.5% (263)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
51.5% (305)
-4.8%
On power play, Kesler has a +9.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Thornton is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Thornton shoots left. Kesler is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,218).
Home / Away
Thornton
Kesler
Home
54.9% (355)
59.1% (881)
Away
47.1% (382)
55.7% (912)
By Period
Thornton
Kesler
P1
46.0%
56.6%
P2
52.5%
58.2%
P3
55.6%
57.5%
OT
33.3%
53.6%
Final 5 min
46.0%
59.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%
46.5%
50.9%
Kesler
50.0%
54.5%
57.4%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 18, 2017 3 16:25 Offensive Joe Thornton
Mar 18, 2017 3 00:00 Neutral Joe Thornton
Mar 18, 2017 2 02:19 Offensive Joe Thornton
Mar 18, 2017 1 17:53 Defensive Ryan Kesler
Mar 18, 2017 1 16:01 Offensive Joe Thornton
Mar 18, 2017 1 10:15 Defensive Joe Thornton
Mar 18, 2017 1 06:30 Offensive Joe Thornton
Dec 27, 2016 OT 00:00 Neutral Ryan Kesler
Dec 27, 2016 3 18:30 Neutral Joe Thornton
Dec 27, 2016 3 07:51 Defensive Ryan Kesler
Dec 27, 2016 2 15:04 Neutral Joe Thornton
Dec 27, 2016 2 08:22 Neutral Ryan Kesler
Dec 27, 2016 2 00:35 Neutral Joe Thornton
Dec 27, 2016 2 00:00 Neutral Ryan Kesler
Dec 27, 2016 1 19:54 Defensive Ryan Kesler
Dec 27, 2016 1 19:18 Neutral Joe Thornton
Dec 27, 2016 1 07:25 Defensive Joe Thornton
Dec 27, 2016 1 04:52 Offensive Ryan Kesler
Dec 9, 2016 3 16:36 Neutral Ryan Kesler
Dec 9, 2016 2 13:47 Defensive Joe Thornton