Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 50.8% vs Kesler 57.0% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 26-13 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 78.5%
Defensive zone
Kesler 96.1%
Neutral zone
Kesler 89.2%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 88.7%
11.3%
88.7%
Thornton
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
13
(39 meetings)
26
13
Thornton
Kesler
Last 10: Thornton 7-3 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
8
2
Thornton
Kesler
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
6
7
Thornton
Kesler
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
12
4
Thornton
Kesler
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (544)
57.6% (1,225)
-7.8%
Power Play
54.5% (178)
63.5% (263)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
51.5% (305)
-4.8%
On power play, Kesler has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Thornton is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Thornton shoots left. Kesler is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,218).
Home / Away
Thornton
Kesler
Home
54.9% (355)
59.1% (881)
Away
47.1% (382)
55.7% (912)
By Period
Thornton
Kesler
P1
46.0%
56.6%
P2
52.5%
58.2%
P3
55.6%
57.5%
OT
33.3%
53.6%
Final 5 min
46.0%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.9%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2017 | 3 | 16:25 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 2 | 02:19 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 1 | 17:53 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 1 | 16:01 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 1 | 10:15 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 27, 2016 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 3 | 18:30 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 3 | 07:51 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 2 | 15:04 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 2 | 08:22 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 2 | 00:35 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 1 | 19:54 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 1 | 19:18 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 1 | 07:25 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 1 | 04:52 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 9, 2016 | 3 | 16:36 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 9, 2016 | 2 | 13:47 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |