Joe Thornton vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 30 meetings). Thornton wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.3% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 39-27 in 66 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 86.3%
Defensive zone
Thornton 79.7%
Neutral zone
Thornton 84.4%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 82.9%
82.9%
17.1%
Thornton
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
39
-
27
(66 meetings)
39
27
Thornton
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Thornton 5-5 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
4
7
Thornton
Nugent-Hopkins
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
14
11
Thornton
Nugent-Hopkins
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
21
9
Thornton
Nugent-Hopkins
30 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,640)
44.9% (8,714)
+8.6%
Power Play
57.2% (1,387)
50.3% (829)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (427)
37.8% (875)
+18.9%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Thornton shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,805).
Home / Away
Thornton
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
55.8% (4,271)
46.4% (5,318)
Away
52.8% (4,219)
42.9% (5,112)
By Period
Thornton
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
55.0%
45.1%
P2
53.3%
43.8%
P3
54.4%
45.2%
OT
56.4%
43.5%
Final 5 min
53.7%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2021 | 1 | 05:23 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 01:31 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 01:17 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 3 | 19:34 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 1 | 14:33 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 1 | 11:12 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 1 | 07:38 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 1 | 07:27 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 00:55 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 17:05 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 14:50 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 11:26 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 12:18 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 1 | 18:28 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 1 | 12:57 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 14:28 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 06:39 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 15:50 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |