Joe Thornton vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

2013-14 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Joe Thornton holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Thornton wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Thornton 55.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 43.0% (+13.7%)
H2H factor Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Thornton 55.3%
Defensive zone Thornton 86.2%
Neutral zone Thornton 82.5%
Result Joe Thornton favored at 80.2%
80.2%
19.8%
Thornton Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 1 (7 meetings)
6
1
Thornton Nugent-Hopkins
Last 7: Thornton 6-1 Nugent-Hopkins

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Thornton Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
0
Thornton Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
0
Thornton Nugent-Hopkins
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Thornton
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (836)
42.3% (1,054)
+12.8%
Power Play
60.8% (181)
44.6% (195)
+16.2%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (82)
32.3% (31)
+23.8%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +23.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Thornton is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (585).
Thornton shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 40.4% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Thornton
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
60.4% (528)
45.6% (686)
Away
52.2% (571)
38.7% (594)
By Period
Thornton
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
58.1%
41.7%
P2
55.3%
46.2%
P3
55.0%
39.3%
OT
55.2%
42.9%
Final 5 min
54.1%
41.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%
46.5%
56.1%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%
50.0%
42.4%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Apr 1, 2014 3 12:31 Neutral Joe Thornton
Apr 1, 2014 1 05:48 Offensive Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Jan 2, 2014 3 00:00 Neutral Joe Thornton
Jan 2, 2014 1 18:14 Defensive Joe Thornton
Jan 2, 2014 1 00:09 Defensive Joe Thornton
Jan 2, 2014 1 00:00 Neutral Joe Thornton
Nov 15, 2013 1 00:58 Defensive Joe Thornton