Joe Thornton vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2013-14 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Thornton wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 55.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 43.0% (+13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 55.3%
Defensive zone
Thornton 86.2%
Neutral zone
Thornton 82.5%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 80.2%
80.2%
19.8%
Thornton
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Thornton
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 7: Thornton 6-1 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Thornton
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
0
Thornton
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
0
Thornton
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (836)
42.3% (1,054)
+12.8%
Power Play
60.8% (181)
44.6% (195)
+16.2%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (82)
32.3% (31)
+23.8%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Thornton is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (585).
Thornton shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 40.4% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Thornton
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
60.4% (528)
45.6% (686)
Away
52.2% (571)
38.7% (594)
By Period
Thornton
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
58.1%
41.7%
P2
55.3%
46.2%
P3
55.0%
39.3%
OT
55.2%
42.9%
Final 5 min
54.1%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
56.1%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2014 | 3 | 12:31 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 1, 2014 | 1 | 05:48 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 1 | 18:14 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 1 | 00:09 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 1 | 00:58 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |