Joe Thornton vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2014-15 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Thornton wins 59.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 57.3% vs Nugent-Hopkins 46.0% (+12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.8%
Defensive zone
Thornton 86.5%
Neutral zone
Thornton 74.6%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 79.7%
79.7%
20.3%
Thornton
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Thornton
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 7: Thornton 5-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
1
Thornton
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
1
Thornton
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (722)
44.3% (1,117)
+14.4%
Power Play
58.5% (147)
52.4% (208)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
51.6% (31)
-0.4%
On even strength, Thornton has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Thornton is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (528).
Thornton shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (891).
Home / Away
Thornton
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
60.1% (496)
47.6% (655)
Away
55.8% (459)
43.9% (701)
By Period
Thornton
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
60.4%
43.9%
P2
54.7%
46.8%
P3
58.2%
47.0%
OT
61.5%
35.7%
Final 5 min
55.5%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
58.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2015 | 3 | 15:44 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 2 | 18:19 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 1 | 14:43 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 1 | 08:08 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 7, 2014 | 3 | 18:31 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 7, 2014 | 2 | 06:18 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 7, 2014 | 1 | 03:37 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |