Joe Thornton vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Thornton wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 49.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 50.6% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 60.3%
Defensive zone
Thornton 56.0%
Neutral zone
Thornton 58.1%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Thornton
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Thornton
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 8: Thornton 3-5 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
2
Thornton
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Thornton
Nugent-Hopkins
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (583)
52.1% (351)
-3.2%
Power Play
52.5% (59)
57.1% (14)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
35.9% (39)
+22.4%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Thornton is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Thornton shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Thornton
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
51.6% (341)
50.0% (198)
Away
47.0% (313)
51.5% (206)
By Period
Thornton
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
53.9%
52.1%
P2
46.9%
48.8%
P3
47.0%
50.4%
Final 5 min
52.0%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 01:31 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 01:17 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 3 | 19:34 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 1 | 14:33 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 1 | 11:12 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 1 | 07:38 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 1 | 07:27 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |