Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Thornton wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 57.4% vs Koivu 51.2% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 15-3 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 95.1%
Defensive zone
Thornton 69.9%
Neutral zone
Thornton 84.0%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 85.6%
85.6%
14.4%
Thornton
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
3
(18 meetings)
15
3
Thornton
Koivu
Last 10: Thornton 9-1 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
9
0
Thornton
Koivu
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
2
Thornton
Koivu
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
1
Thornton
Koivu
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (540)
52.5% (631)
+4.5%
Power Play
64.0% (111)
49.3% (73)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
62.0% (50)
47.6% (147)
+14.4%
On power play, Thornton has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Thornton is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (478).
Thornton shoots left. Koivu is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Thornton
Koivu
Home
56.7% (353)
51.3% (431)
Away
60.3% (348)
51.4% (420)
By Period
Thornton
Koivu
P1
59.3%
51.9%
P2
60.1%
52.9%
P3
57.1%
49.8%
OT
47.6%
41.7%
Final 5 min
58.0%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
58.5%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2013 | 3 | 12:28 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 2 | 13:27 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 3 | 17:19 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 3 | 07:15 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 2 | 12:27 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 2 | 10:09 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 2 | 06:52 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 17:46 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 13:11 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 3 | 09:53 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 3 | 19:06 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 3 | 16:38 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 3 | 05:56 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 2 | 19:29 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 17:15 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 10:58 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |