Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Thornton wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 55.6% vs Koivu 50.4% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 86.0%
Defensive zone
Thornton 59.6%
Neutral zone
Thornton 82.7%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 73.2%
73.2%
26.8%
Thornton
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Thornton
Koivu
Last 10: Thornton 5-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
4
Thornton
Koivu
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
6
1
Thornton
Koivu
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
0
Thornton
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (836)
50.4% (912)
+4.7%
Power Play
60.8% (181)
59.1% (44)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (82)
46.8% (111)
+9.3%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Thornton is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (585).
Thornton shoots left. Koivu is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (700).
Home / Away
Thornton
Koivu
Home
60.4% (528)
51.5% (610)
Away
52.2% (571)
49.0% (457)
By Period
Thornton
Koivu
P1
58.1%
48.5%
P2
55.3%
51.5%
P3
55.0%
51.1%
OT
55.2%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.1%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
56.1%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2014 | 3 | 14:59 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 9, 2014 | 2 | 07:23 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 9, 2014 | 2 | 07:30 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 2 | 08:30 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 1 | 03:59 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 3 | 19:54 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 2 | 12:05 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 2 | 11:56 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 2 | 11:39 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 30, 2013 | OT | 04:13 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 3 | 17:36 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 2 | 16:39 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 2 | 12:21 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 2 | 04:27 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 1 | 19:12 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |