Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 52.4% vs Kuraly 53.2% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 63.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 79.4%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 54.4%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Thornton
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Thornton
Kuraly
Last 5: Thornton 3-2 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
0
Thornton
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Thornton
Kuraly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (638)
54.5% (464)
-2.0%
Power Play
57.1% (35)
0.0% (1)
+57.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
50.0% (66)
+0.0%
On power play, Thornton has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Thornton is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Thornton shoots left. Kuraly is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Thornton
Kuraly
Home
54.8% (341)
52.3% (281)
Away
50.6% (334)
55.6% (250)
By Period
Thornton
Kuraly
P1
55.2%
56.0%
P2
56.5%
60.8%
P3
47.1%
44.3%
OT
25.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.6%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2019 | 2 | 10:18 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 2 | 15:28 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 2 | 06:30 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 2 | 01:08 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |