Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.3% vs 53.5%). Look for Thornton on neutral-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings). Thornton wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.3% vs Crosby 53.5% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 19-13 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 73.9%
Defensive zone
Crosby 54.3%
Neutral zone
Crosby 59.3%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 62.5%
37.5%
62.5%
Thornton
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
13
(32 meetings)
19
13
Thornton
Crosby
Last 10: Thornton 7-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Thornton
Crosby
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
5
4
Thornton
Crosby
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
9
4
Thornton
Crosby
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,640)
52.8% (17,990)
+0.7%
Power Play
57.2% (1,387)
57.4% (4,733)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (427)
47.1% (765)
+9.6%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Thornton shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Home / Away
Thornton
Crosby
Home
55.8% (4,271)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
52.8% (4,219)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Thornton
Crosby
P1
55.0%
53.6%
P2
53.3%
53.9%
P3
54.4%
53.3%
OT
56.4%
49.6%
Final 5 min
53.7%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2020 | 2 | 04:39 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 1 | 11:13 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 1 | 10:43 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 00:37 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 06:56 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 04:27 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 04:22 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 2 | 18:51 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 2 | 16:03 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 3 | 04:21 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 1 | 18:52 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 1 | 02:56 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 2 | 19:40 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 1 | 06:43 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 3 | 06:53 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 3 | 06:41 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 2 | 02:56 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 2 | 00:06 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |